Democrats are panicking.
According to FiveThirtyEight, the Republicans are now favored to retake the Senate with a 51% chance of coming away from the midterm elections with a majority. This represents an incredible continuation of momentum the GOP has seen in the final weeks.
From Breitbart News:
The pollster appears to have shifted the Nevada race in favor of Republicans. Nevada Republican Adam Laxalt is challenging Democrat Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV).
Laxalt has led the race in 10 of the last 14 polls, with an average lead of nearly two points. Cortez Masto has outspent Laxalt by about $9 million, according to third-quarter fundraising totals.
…
To retake the Senate, Republicans need to hold Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and retake either Arizona, Nevada, Washington, New Hampshire, or Georgia to have a one-seat majority in the Senate.
FiveThirtEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver shared the news on Twitter.
“It’s all been within the range of 50/50, and 51/49 one way fundamentally isn’t much different than 51/49 the other way, but still the first GOP lead by any margin in our Senate forecast since July.”
It's all been within the range of 50/50, and 51/49 one way fundamentally isn't much different than 51/49 the other way, but still the first GOP lead by any margin in our Senate forecast since July.https://t.co/ImBoBkGHdD pic.twitter.com/UOyf8wT8eJ
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2022