The Democratic Party is hemorrhaging registered voters, with data from 30 states showing the GOP gaining ground in every single one between 2020 and 2024.
According to the New York Times, citing figures from the nonpartisan data firm L2, Democrats shed about 2.1 million voters nationwide during that period, while Republicans added 2.4 million. The 2024 cycle also marked the first time since 2018 that the GOP outpaced Democrats in new registrations across the country.
Democrats still hold a registration edge nationwide, but in states that track party affiliation, their lead shrank from 11 points in 2020 to just 6 points in 2024.
Michael Pruser of Decision Desk HQ told the outlet, “I don’t want to say, ‘The death cycle of the Democratic Party,’ but there seems to be no end to this. There is no silver lining or cavalry coming across the hill. This is month after month, year after year.”
Tom Bonier, a leading expert on voter registration trends in the Democratic Party, had spent 2024 disregarding the seriousness of the situation the party was in in regard to registration. “I was wrong,” he said. “Clearly, in retrospect, we can say the Democratic Party had dug itself in too deep a hole in the preceding four years for the Harris campaign to dig itself out in the last few months,” he said, adding that the registration statistics are a “big flashing red alert.”
More over at The New York Times:
NEW at NYT: The Democratic Party is facing a voter registration crisis in red, blue and battleground states alike — losing ground to the GOP everywhere.
My deep dive into the numbers and what it reveals about the party's brand.
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— Shane Goldmacher (@ShaneGoldmacher) August 20, 2025
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